Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Coinbase delivered $2.03B total revenue and $1.96B net revenue in Q1 2025; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.24 as crypto investment losses weighed on earnings . Versus consensus, revenue and EPS missed; Adjusted EBITDA was $930M and Adjusted Net Income $527M, highlighting strong underlying operations .
- Mix shifted: transaction revenue fell 19% q/q to $1.26B amid lower fee mix and derivatives incentives, while subscription and services grew 9% q/q to $698M led by stablecoin revenue (+32% q/q to $298M) and Coinbase One .
- Q2 2025 outlook guides subscription and services revenue to $600–$680M and transaction expenses mid-teens of net revenue; tech/G&A $700–$750M and sales/marketing $215–$315M, reflecting softer crypto prices and tactical marketing spend .
- Strategic catalysts: announced acquisition of Deribit (~$2.9B; $700M cash + 11M shares), expanding crypto options leadership and derivatives market share ; S&P 500 inclusion effective May 19, 2025, likely driving index-related demand .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Stablecoin monetization: USDC revenue rose 32% q/q to $298M; average USDC in Coinbase products up 49% q/q to $12.3B; off-platform USDC $41.9B—demonstrating ecosystem scale . “USDC… saw continued momentum, with its market cap reaching new all-time highs of over $60 billion” .
- Subscription resilience: Subscription and services revenue grew 9% q/q to $698M, with Coinbase One subscribers reaching new highs, including uptake of Coinbase One Premium ($300/month) .
- Derivatives and platform innovation: ~$804B global derivatives volume with market share gains; launched Verified Pools to enhance onchain liquidity safety; Portfolio Margin 2.0 for institutional leverage; Flashblocks testnet for sub-second blocks . CEO: “We drove over $800 billion in global derivatives trading volume” .
- What Went Wrong
- Fee mix and incentives compressed transaction revenue: Institutional transaction revenue down 30% q/q despite only 9% volume decline, driven by lower-fee spot mix and derivatives rebates netted against revenue .
- Crypto investment losses hit GAAP earnings: $596.7M losses on crypto assets held for investment drove GAAP net income to $66M and diluted EPS $0.24, despite strong adjusted profitability .
- Macro headwinds: Management flagged softer trading trends entering Q2, with ETH down ~36% and SOL down ~25% vs Q1 averages, implying lower blockchain rewards and subscription components .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown – Transaction revenue
Subscription and services breakdown
KPIs – Trading volume
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “Coinbase delivered across the board in Q1… $2 billion [revenue] with $930 million in adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating… resilience” — Brian Armstrong .
- Derivatives expansion: “We drove over $800 billion in global derivatives trading volume… acquisition of Deribit… makes Coinbase the #1 crypto derivative platform globally by open interest” — Brian Armstrong .
- Revenue mix dynamics: “Institutional transaction revenue was down 30%… driven by growth in derivatives… rebates/incentives [contra revenue], and spot mix shift toward market makers” — Alesia Haas .
- Adjusted metrics clarity: “Introducing a new profitability metric, adjusted net income… GAAP net income excluding tax-adjusted impact of crypto investment portfolio gains or losses… $527 million” — Alesia Haas .
- Outlook caution and discipline: “Macro uncertainty… may contribute to softer crypto trading markets and lower asset prices… We caution extrapolating monthly results” — Alesia Haas .
Q&A Highlights
- Deribit accretion and cross-sell: Management expects Deribit to be adjusted EBITDA accretive (pre-purchase accounting), with integrated options/futures driving higher share and efficiency for traders .
- USDC economics and partnerships: Coinbase receives 100% of reserve income for USDC in eligible products and 50% of off-platform economics post issuer fees; adding partners like Binance aims to expand USDC TAM and liquidity .
- TradFi engagement: Coinbase powers custody/trading/stablecoin infrastructure for large institutions; management sees banks integrating crypto and prefers shared-economics network effects over siloed stablecoins .
- Regulatory stance: No current plans for a bank charter; preference for fully reserved models and faster product velocity under non-bank structure .
- Derivatives incentives: Continued rebates to build market share; anticipated $30–$40M q/q impact to institutional transaction revenue in Q2 .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: Coinbase emphasizes Adjusted EBITDA of $929.9M for Q1 2025, which excludes gains/losses on crypto assets held for investment; the large GAAP/standardized EBITDA delta reflects $596.7M pre-tax losses on crypto investment assets in the quarter . Misses versus consensus were driven by fee mix/derivatives incentives compressing transaction revenue and substantial crypto investment losses depressing GAAP EPS .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Underlying profitability remains robust: $930M Adjusted EBITDA and $527M Adjusted Net Income despite GAAP EPS headwinds from crypto investment losses; focus on adjusted metrics for core performance .
- Revenue mix pivot continues: Subscription and services at $698M with USDC flywheel scaling; watch ETH/SOL price trajectories for blockchain rewards pressure in Q2 .
- Derivatives strategy is a near-term drag, long-term growth driver: Incentives reduce institutional net revenue short term, but Deribit adds options leadership and accelerates market share and durability of trading revenues .
- Q2 guide implies softer conditions: Subscriptions $600–$680M and mid-teens transaction expense signal tighter unit economics; April transaction revenue was ~$240M—avoid straight-line extrapolation .
- Index catalyst: S&P 500 inclusion on May 19 likely spurs passive inflows and broadens investor base .
- Operational discipline: Tech/G&A and S&M guidance trimmed sequentially; performance marketing and USDC rewards will flex with volatility and asset prices .
- Watch regulatory momentum: SEC case dismissal and executive actions improve clarity; potential for expanded US products (e.g., perpetuals) as dialogue with CFTC advances .
Notes on non-GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income exclude gains/losses on crypto assets held for investment per company policy; reconcile to GAAP in shareholder letter **[1679788_0001679788-25-000088_q125shareholderletter.htm:28]**.
April update (Q2 intra-quarter): ~ $240M transaction revenue; spot volume down ~12% m/m, in line with global down ~13%; caution on extrapolation **[1679788_0001679788-25-000088_q125shareholderletter.htm:11]**.